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icon for CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026

CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026

icon for CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026

CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026

The Red Clay Strays 65%

Little Big Town 30.8%

Midland 1.0%

Old Dominion <1%

Polymarket
NEW

The Red Clay Strays 65%

Little Big Town 30.8%

Midland 1.0%

Old Dominion <1%

Polymarket
NEW

The Red Clay Strays

$3,067 Vol.

65%

Little Big Town

$1,293 Vol.

31%

Midland

$267 Vol.

1%

Old Dominion

$485 Vol.

1%

Lady A

$617 Vol.

<1%

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year. If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Red Clay Strays lead the CMA Vocal Group of the Year market at 65% implied probability following their September 10, 2026, nomination announcement and status as 2025 winners. Their new album Grateful and extensive 2026 arena tour have sustained strong industry momentum and voter familiarity ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Little Big Town sits at 30.8% on the strength of its record consecutive nomination streak and enduring academy loyalty, though it trails in recent chart and touring visibility. The remaining nominees—Lady A, Midland, and Old Dominion—trade below 1% amid limited recent breakout activity and historical voting patterns favoring fresher or dominant acts. Traders are pricing in the Strays’ frontrunner edge while noting that late guild or critic signals could still shift the field before ballots close.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year.

If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year. If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,730
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year. If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Red Clay Strays lead the CMA Vocal Group of the Year market at 65% implied probability following their September 10, 2026, nomination announcement and status as 2025 winners. Their new album Grateful and extensive 2026 arena tour have sustained strong industry momentum and voter familiarity ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Little Big Town sits at 30.8% on the strength of its record consecutive nomination streak and enduring academy loyalty, though it trails in recent chart and touring visibility. The remaining nominees—Lady A, Midland, and Old Dominion—trade below 1% amid limited recent breakout activity and historical voting patterns favoring fresher or dominant acts. Traders are pricing in the Strays’ frontrunner edge while noting that late guild or critic signals could still shift the field before ballots close.

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year.

If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year. If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,730
End Date
Nov 19, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 7:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Red Clay Strays" at 65%, followed by "Little Big Town" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026" is "The Red Clay Strays" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Little Big Town" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.