The Amgen Irish Open at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg featured five par-3 holes measuring 137–225 yards, typical of a firm links layout exposed to coastal winds that complicate precise tee shots. Professional hole-in-one rates generally run around one per 2,500–3,000 attempts, and the combination of distances, variable breeze, and pin placements across four rounds produced a low cumulative expectation for an ace despite a field that included Shane Lowry, Jon Rahm, and other top players. No aces were reported during the event, aligning with trader consensus that priced “No” at 90.5% implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated19% chance
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
19% chance
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The Amgen Irish Open at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg featured five par-3 holes measuring 137–225 yards, typical of a firm links layout exposed to coastal winds that complicate precise tee shots. Professional hole-in-one rates generally run around one per 2,500–3,000 attempts, and the combination of distances, variable breeze, and pin placements across four rounds produced a low cumulative expectation for an ace despite a field that included Shane Lowry, Jon Rahm, and other top players. No aces were reported during the event, aligning with trader consensus that priced “No” at 90.5% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).The Amgen Irish Open at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg featured five par-3 holes measuring 137–225 yards, typical of a firm links layout exposed to coastal winds that complicate precise tee shots. Professional hole-in-one rates generally run around one per 2,500–3,000 attempts, and the combination of distances, variable breeze, and pin placements across four rounds produced a low cumulative expectation for an ace despite a field that included Shane Lowry, Jon Rahm, and other top players. No aces were reported during the event, aligning with trader consensus that priced “No” at 90.5% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at the 2026 Irish Open. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Only a hole-in-one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole-in-one recorded during practice rounds or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, or postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Amgen Irish Open at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg featured five par-3 holes measuring 137–225 yards, typical of a firm links layout exposed to coastal winds that complicate precise tee shots. Professional hole-in-one rates generally run around one per 2,500–3,000 attempts, and the combination of distances, variable breeze, and pin placements across four rounds produced a low cumulative expectation for an ace despite a field that included Shane Lowry, Jon Rahm, and other top players. No aces were reported during the event, aligning with trader consensus that priced “No” at 90.5% implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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