Shane Lowry's commanding position atop the Amgen Irish Open leaderboard at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg reflects the market's emphasis on links-course proficiency and recent momentum. The 2019 Open champion has leveraged his low ball flight and wind management to build a substantial lead on the exposed Atlantic layout, where home support and familiarity with Irish conditions provide a measurable edge over international contenders. Defending champion Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm remain relevant through major-winning pedigree and ball-striking consistency, yet the field’s depth—spanning breakout performers like Jacob Skov Olesen and established names such as Patrick Reed and Joaquin Niemann—highlights how variable scoring and course setup can elevate under-the-radar players with strong recent form or links experience. Trader consensus assigns minimal implied probability to any single long-shot outcome in this 150-player event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAndy Sullivan 19.0%
Casey Jarvis 18.9%
Freddy Schott 18.9%
Jordan Gumberg 18.9%
$21,273 Vol.
$21,273 Vol.
Adrian Meronk
No
Adrian Otaegui
No
Alejandro Del Rey
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Andy Sullivan
No
Angel Ayora
No
Angel Hidalgo
No
Antoine Rozner
No
Ashun Wu
No
Ben Schmidt
No
Bernd Wiesberger
No
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
No
Brandon Stone
No
Brooks Koepka
No
Calum Hill
No
Casey Jarvis
No
Connor Syme
No
Cormac Sharvin
No
Daniel Bradbury
No
Daniel Gavins
No
Daniel Hillier
No
Daniel Rodrigues
No
Danny Willett
No
Darius van Driel
No
David Micheluzzi
No
David Puig
No
David Ravetto
No
Davis Bryant
No
Dylan Frittelli
No
Dylan Naidoo
No
Eddie Pepperell
No
Erik van Rooyen
No
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
No
Ewen Ferguson
No
Francesco Laporta
No
Francesco Molinari
No
Frankie Capan
No
Freddy Schott
No
Frederic Lacroix
No
Grant Forrest
No
Gregorio De Leo
No
Guido Migliozzi
No
Haotong Li
No
Harry Hall
No
Hennie Du Plessis
No
Ignacio Elvira
No
Ivan Cantero
No
J. C. Ritchie
No
Jack Senior
No
Jacob Skov Olesen
No
Jacques Kruyswijk
No
Jason Scrivener
No
Jayden Schaper
No
Jeff Winther
No
Jens Dantorp
No
Jeong-Weon Ko
No
Joakim Lagergren
No
Joaquin Niemann
No
Joel Girrbach
No
Johannes Veerman
No
John Catlin
No
Jon Rahm
No
Joost Luiten
No
Jordan Gumberg
No
Jordan Smith
No
Jorge Campillo
No
Joseph Dean
No
Julien Guerrier
No
Jung-Hwan Lee
No
Kazuma Kobori
No
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
No
Kota Kaneko
No
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
No
Laurie Canter
No
Liam Nolan
No
Luke Donald
No
Manuel Elvira
No
Marcel Schneider
No
Marcus Armitage
No
Marcus Helligkilde
No
Mark Power
No
Martin Couvra
No
Matt Wallace
No
Matteo Manassero
No
Matthew Jordan
No
Max Kennedy
No
Maximilian Steinlechner
No
Michael Hollick
No
Mikael Lindberg
No
Nathan Kimsey
No
Nicolai Hoejgaard
No
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
No
Niklas Lemke
No
Niklas Noergaard
No
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
No
Oliver Lindell
No
Pablo Larrazabal
No
Padraig Harrington
No
Patrick Reed
No
Paul Waring
No
Andy Sullivan 19.0%
Casey Jarvis 18.9%
Freddy Schott 18.9%
Jordan Gumberg 18.9%
$21,273 Vol.
$21,273 Vol.
Adrian Meronk
No
Adrian Otaegui
No
Alejandro Del Rey
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Andy Sullivan
No
Angel Ayora
No
Angel Hidalgo
No
Antoine Rozner
No
Ashun Wu
No
Ben Schmidt
No
Bernd Wiesberger
No
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
No
Brandon Stone
No
Brooks Koepka
No
Calum Hill
No
Casey Jarvis
No
Connor Syme
No
Cormac Sharvin
No
Daniel Bradbury
No
Daniel Gavins
No
Daniel Hillier
No
Daniel Rodrigues
No
Danny Willett
No
Darius van Driel
No
David Micheluzzi
No
David Puig
No
David Ravetto
No
Davis Bryant
No
Dylan Frittelli
No
Dylan Naidoo
No
Eddie Pepperell
No
Erik van Rooyen
No
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
No
Ewen Ferguson
No
Francesco Laporta
No
Francesco Molinari
No
Frankie Capan
No
Freddy Schott
No
Frederic Lacroix
No
Grant Forrest
No
Gregorio De Leo
No
Guido Migliozzi
No
Haotong Li
No
Harry Hall
No
Hennie Du Plessis
No
Ignacio Elvira
No
Ivan Cantero
No
J. C. Ritchie
No
Jack Senior
No
Jacob Skov Olesen
No
Jacques Kruyswijk
No
Jason Scrivener
No
Jayden Schaper
No
Jeff Winther
No
Jens Dantorp
No
Jeong-Weon Ko
No
Joakim Lagergren
No
Joaquin Niemann
No
Joel Girrbach
No
Johannes Veerman
No
John Catlin
No
Jon Rahm
No
Joost Luiten
No
Jordan Gumberg
No
Jordan Smith
No
Jorge Campillo
No
Joseph Dean
No
Julien Guerrier
No
Jung-Hwan Lee
No
Kazuma Kobori
No
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
No
Kota Kaneko
No
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
No
Laurie Canter
No
Liam Nolan
No
Luke Donald
No
Manuel Elvira
No
Marcel Schneider
No
Marcus Armitage
No
Marcus Helligkilde
No
Mark Power
No
Martin Couvra
No
Matt Wallace
No
Matteo Manassero
No
Matthew Jordan
No
Max Kennedy
No
Maximilian Steinlechner
No
Michael Hollick
No
Mikael Lindberg
No
Nathan Kimsey
No
Nicolai Hoejgaard
No
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
No
Niklas Lemke
No
Niklas Noergaard
No
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
No
Oliver Lindell
No
Pablo Larrazabal
No
Padraig Harrington
No
Patrick Reed
No
Paul Waring
No
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Shane Lowry's commanding position atop the Amgen Irish Open leaderboard at Trump International Golf Links Doonbeg reflects the market's emphasis on links-course proficiency and recent momentum. The 2019 Open champion has leveraged his low ball flight and wind management to build a substantial lead on the exposed Atlantic layout, where home support and familiarity with Irish conditions provide a measurable edge over international contenders. Defending champion Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm remain relevant through major-winning pedigree and ball-striking consistency, yet the field’s depth—spanning breakout performers like Jacob Skov Olesen and established names such as Patrick Reed and Joaquin Niemann—highlights how variable scoring and course setup can elevate under-the-radar players with strong recent form or links experience. Trader consensus assigns minimal implied probability to any single long-shot outcome in this 150-player event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions