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icon for DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader
Sports·Golf

DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader

icon for DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader
Sports·Golf

DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader

Hole in One?

Albatross?

Winner

Top 5

Hole in One?

Albatross?

Winner

Top 5

Adrian Meronk 98%

Adrian Otaegui 98%

Adrien Saddier 98%

Albin Bergstroem 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Adrian Meronk 98%

Adrian Otaegui 98%

Adrien Saddier 98%

Albin Bergstroem 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Adrian Meronk

$0 Vol.

98%

Adrian Otaegui

$0 Vol.

98%

Adrien Saddier

$0 Vol.

98%

Albin Bergstroem

$0 Vol.

98%

Andreas Halvorsen

$0 Vol.

98%

Andres Gallegos

$0 Vol.

98%

Angel Hidalgo

$0 Vol.

98%

Antoine Rozner

$0 Vol.

98%

Ashun Wu

$0 Vol.

98%

Benjamin Follett-Smith

$0 Vol.

98%

Brandon Robinson-Thompson

$0 Vol.

98%

Calum Hill

$0 Vol.

98%

Adria Arnaus

$0 Vol.

53%

Alexander Levy

$0 Vol.

53%

Cameron Adam

$0 Vol.

53%

Brandon Stone

$0 Vol.

51%

Callum Tarren

$0 Vol.

51%

Cameron Smith

$0 Vol.

50%

Ben Schmidt

$0 Vol.

49%

Benjamin Hebert

$0 Vol.

49%

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

$0 Vol.

49%

Jeff Winther

$0 Vol.

47%

Niklas Lemke

$0 Vol.

47%

Anthony Quayle

$0 Vol.

45%

Fabrizio Zanotti

$0 Vol.

45%

Filippo Celli

$0 Vol.

45%

Daniel Bradbury

$0 Vol.

44%

David Ravetto

$0 Vol.

44%

Ignacio Elvira

$0 Vol.

44%

Francesco Laporta

$0 Vol.

43%

Eddie Pepperell

$0 Vol.

43%

Ewen Ferguson

$0 Vol.

43%

Elvis Smylie

$0 Vol.

42%

Joel Girrbach

$0 Vol.

42%

Johannes Veerman

$0 Vol.

41%

Joseph Dean

$0 Vol.

41%

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

$0 Vol.

41%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

39%

Daniel van Tonder

$0 Vol.

38%

Guido Migliozzi

$0 Vol.

36%

Darius van Driel

$0 Vol.

35%

Freddy Schott

$0 Vol.

35%

Nicolai von Dellingshausen

$0 Vol.

35%

Martin Couvra

$0 Vol.

34%

Nathan Kimsey

$0 Vol.

34%

Angel Ayora

$0 Vol.

32%

Bud Cauley

$0 Vol.

32%

Andy Sullivan

$0 Vol.

31%

Matteo Manassero

$0 Vol.

31%

Clement Charmasson

$0 Vol.

30%

Manuel Elvira

$0 Vol.

30%

Connor McKinney

$0 Vol.

28%

Grant Forrest

$0 Vol.

28%

Cohen Trolio

$0 Vol.

27%

Michael Kim

$0 Vol.

26%

Joost Luiten

$0 Vol.

21%

Kota Kaneko

$0 Vol.

20%

Maximilian Steinlechner

$0 Vol.

20%

Frederic Lacroix

$0 Vol.

17%

Hennie Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

17%

Julien Guerrier

$0 Vol.

17%

Marcus Kinhult

$0 Vol.

17%

Daniel Young

$130 Vol.

16%

David Law

$0 Vol.

16%

Kazuma Kobori

$0 Vol.

16%

Julien Sale

$0 Vol.

16%

Marcus Armitage

$0 Vol.

16%

Matthew Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

16%

Matthieu Pavon

$0 Vol.

16%

Ludvig Aaberg

$0 Vol.

15%

Daniel Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

15%

Daniel Gavins

$130 Vol.

20%

David Micheluzzi

$130 Vol.

12%

Dylan Naidoo

$130 Vol.

13%

Edoardo Molinari

$130 Vol.

12%

Euan Walker

$0 Vol.

15%

Felix Mory

$0 Vol.

15%

Frankie Capan

$130 Vol.

17%

Frederico Biondi

$130 Vol.

17%

Gregorio De Leo

$130 Vol.

16%

Hugo Townsend

$130 Vol.

17%

Ivan Cantero

$130 Vol.

13%

Jack Buchanan

$130 Vol.

17%

Jack Senior

$130 Vol.

14%

Jack Yule

$130 Vol.

16%

Jens Dantorp

$0 Vol.

15%

Jeong-Weon Ko

$130 Vol.

17%

Jeremy Paul

$130 Vol.

22%

Joshua Berry

$130 Vol.

21%

Jung-Hwan Lee

$130 Vol.

17%

Marcel Siem

$130 Vol.

16%

Mathieu Decottignies-Lafon

$130 Vol.

15%

Matthew Baldwin

$130 Vol.

17%

Maxime Legros

$130 Vol.

14%

Maximilian Kieffer

$130 Vol.

16%

Mike Toorop

$130 Vol.

22%

James Morrison

$0 Vol.

33%

Jason Scrivener

$0 Vol.

39%

Jordan Gumberg

$0 Vol.

43%

Michael Mjaaseth

$130 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The closely bunched probabilities around 49% for numerous DP World Tour players reflect the wide-open nature of the first-round lead at the FedEx Open de France. Le Golf National’s renovated Albatros course, returning after Grand Paris works and featuring redesigned holes plus water on ten layouts, demands precision and rewards early momentum over reputation. A deep field including Matt Fitzpatrick (recent invitee with strong 2026 form), Tommy Fleetwood (2017 winner and course specialist), Viktor Hovland, and rising French talents like Martin Couvra creates parity, as no single golfer enters with dominant recent scoring trends or unique setup advantages. Recent European swing results and the absence of prohibitive favorites further flatten expectations for Thursday’s 18 holes, leaving the market reflecting genuine uncertainty among contenders.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$3,120
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.europeantour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.The closely bunched probabilities around 49% for numerous DP World Tour players reflect the wide-open nature of the first-round lead at the FedEx Open de France. Le Golf National’s renovated Albatros course, returning after Grand Paris works and featuring redesigned holes plus water on ten layouts, demands precision and rewards early momentum over reputation. A deep field including Matt Fitzpatrick (recent invitee with strong 2026 form), Tommy Fleetwood (2017 winner and course specialist), Viktor Hovland, and rising French talents like Martin Couvra creates parity, as no single golfer enters with dominant recent scoring trends or unique setup advantages. Recent European swing results and the absence of prohibitive favorites further flatten expectations for Thursday’s 18 holes, leaving the market reflecting genuine uncertainty among contenders.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Open de France with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Open de France is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$3,120
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.europeantour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adrian Meronk" at 49%, followed by "Adrian Otaegui" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader" is "Adrian Meronk" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adrian Otaegui" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "DP World Tour: Open de France First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.