The tight bunching of implied probabilities around 25% for over a dozen quarterbacks reflects the inherent volatility of fantasy scoring in NFL Week 2, where early-season game scripts, defensive adjustments, and usage patterns remain fluid. Trevor Lawrence holds a slight edge at 26.5% amid reports of favorable volume in the passing game, yet the field stays competitive because multiple signal-callers face defenses that allowed high completion percentages or big plays in Week 1. Factors such as rest advantages, weather in outdoor venues, and potential for explosive outputs from mobile or high-target QBs keep outcomes closely contested, with trader consensus pricing in the wide variance typical of limited sample sizes this early.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTrevor Lawrence 27%
Lamar Jackson 26%
Joe Burrow 26%
Baker Mayfield 26%
Trevor Lawrence
27%
Lamar Jackson
26%
Joe Burrow
26%
Baker Mayfield
26%
Jordan Love
26%
Sam Darnold
26%
C.J. Stroud
26%
Bryce Young
26%
Jacoby Brissett
26%
Geno Smith
26%
Fernando Mendoza
26%
Michael Penix Jr.
26%
Jaxson Dart
25%
Caleb Williams
25%
Jared Goff
25%
Malik Willis
25%
Dak Prescott
24%
Kyler Murray
24%
Tua Tagovailoa
24%
Shedeur Sanders
24%
Josh Allen
18%
Drake Maye
18%
Jayden Daniels
17%
Jalen Hurts
17%
Patrick Mahomes
17%
Brock Purdy
17%
Matthew Stafford
17%
Tyler Shough
17%
Deshaun Watson
17%
Daniel Jones
17%
Bo Nix
16%
Justin Herbert
13%
Aaron Rodgers
13%
Cam Ward
12%
Trevor Lawrence 27%
Lamar Jackson 26%
Joe Burrow 26%
Baker Mayfield 26%
Trevor Lawrence
27%
Lamar Jackson
26%
Joe Burrow
26%
Baker Mayfield
26%
Jordan Love
26%
Sam Darnold
26%
C.J. Stroud
26%
Bryce Young
26%
Jacoby Brissett
26%
Geno Smith
26%
Fernando Mendoza
26%
Michael Penix Jr.
26%
Jaxson Dart
25%
Caleb Williams
25%
Jared Goff
25%
Malik Willis
25%
Dak Prescott
24%
Kyler Murray
24%
Tua Tagovailoa
24%
Shedeur Sanders
24%
Josh Allen
18%
Drake Maye
18%
Jayden Daniels
17%
Jalen Hurts
17%
Patrick Mahomes
17%
Brock Purdy
17%
Matthew Stafford
17%
Tyler Shough
17%
Deshaun Watson
17%
Daniel Jones
17%
Bo Nix
16%
Justin Herbert
13%
Aaron Rodgers
13%
Cam Ward
12%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 2 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 2, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the highest-scoring QB in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official Week 2 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 2 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If two or more players are tied for the most fantasy points in Week 2, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the highest-scoring QB in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is not a listed player, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official Week 2 statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Resolution Source
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight bunching of implied probabilities around 25% for over a dozen quarterbacks reflects the inherent volatility of fantasy scoring in NFL Week 2, where early-season game scripts, defensive adjustments, and usage patterns remain fluid. Trevor Lawrence holds a slight edge at 26.5% amid reports of favorable volume in the passing game, yet the field stays competitive because multiple signal-callers face defenses that allowed high completion percentages or big plays in Week 1. Factors such as rest advantages, weather in outdoor venues, and potential for explosive outputs from mobile or high-target QBs keep outcomes closely contested, with trader consensus pricing in the wide variance typical of limited sample sizes this early.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions