The CDC’s FluSurv-NET surveillance shows the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate reached 84.5 per 100,000 population by Week 14 in mid-April 2026, with weekly incidence already down to 0.5–0.6 per 100,000 and continuing to decline. Laboratory-confirmed admissions have since fallen to negligible levels, consistent with official forecasts projecting only 320–2,000 new national hospitalizations through mid-June. This late-season trajectory leaves almost no room for the cumulative total to exit the 85–90 band by Week 22, producing the market’s near-certain 98.5% implied probability. An anomalous late-May or early-June surge would be required to push the rate higher, but current model consensus and historical patterns at this calendar stage make such a reversal highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
85–90 98.5%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
100+ <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
1%
85–90 98.5%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
100+ <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-12
<80
$288 交易量
1%
80–85
$316 交易量
<1%
85–90
$970 交易量
99%
90–95
$270 交易量
<1%
95–100
$281 交易量
1%
100+
$270 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The CDC’s FluSurv-NET surveillance shows the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate reached 84.5 per 100,000 population by Week 14 in mid-April 2026, with weekly incidence already down to 0.5–0.6 per 100,000 and continuing to decline. Laboratory-confirmed admissions have since fallen to negligible levels, consistent with official forecasts projecting only 320–2,000 new national hospitalizations through mid-June. This late-season trajectory leaves almost no room for the cumulative total to exit the 85–90 band by Week 22, producing the market’s near-certain 98.5% implied probability. An anomalous late-May or early-June surge would be required to push the rate higher, but current model consensus and historical patterns at this calendar stage make such a reversal highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$2,396结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The CDC’s FluSurv-NET surveillance shows the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate reached 84.5 per 100,000 population by Week 14 in mid-April 2026, with weekly incidence already down to 0.5–0.6 per 100,000 and continuing to decline. Laboratory-confirmed admissions have since fallen to negligible levels, consistent with official forecasts projecting only 320–2,000 new national hospitalizations through mid-June. This late-season trajectory leaves almost no room for the cumulative total to exit the 85–90 band by Week 22, producing the market’s near-certain 98.5% implied probability. An anomalous late-May or early-June surge would be required to push the rate higher, but current model consensus and historical patterns at this calendar stage make such a reversal highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$2,396结束日期
2026-06-12市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The CDC’s FluSurv-NET surveillance shows the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate reached 84.5 per 100,000 population by Week 14 in mid-April 2026, with weekly incidence already down to 0.5–0.6 per 100,000 and continuing to decline. Laboratory-confirmed admissions have since fallen to negligible levels, consistent with official forecasts projecting only 320–2,000 new national hospitalizations through mid-June. This late-season trajectory leaves almost no room for the cumulative total to exit the 85–90 band by Week 22, producing the market’s near-certain 98.5% implied probability. An anomalous late-May or early-June surge would be required to push the rate higher, but current model consensus and historical patterns at this calendar stage make such a reversal highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题