Official National Weather Service (NWS) Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) recorded a maximum temperature of 73°F on May 12 at 4 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 72-73°F outcome as data finalizes on Weather Underground. Persistent morning overcast skies severely limited solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while east winds and mid-level moisture trapped under a lingering upper-level trough suppressed highs far below the climatological May normal of 80°F—a pattern corroborated by NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model runs. With observations complete, realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions uncovering overlooked peaks, though NWS quality controls make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on May 12?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 12?
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$104,144 Vol.
$104,144 Vol.
May 12, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$104,144 Vol.
$104,144 Vol.
May 12, 2026
71°F or below
$14,455 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$15,707 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$12,734 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$9,554 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$12,942 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$11,114 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$8,251 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$4,472 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,552 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,202 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$5,159 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service (NWS) Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) recorded a maximum temperature of 73°F on May 12 at 4 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 72-73°F outcome as data finalizes on Weather Underground. Persistent morning overcast skies severely limited solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while east winds and mid-level moisture trapped under a lingering upper-level trough suppressed highs far below the climatological May normal of 80°F—a pattern corroborated by NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model runs. With observations complete, realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions uncovering overlooked peaks, though NWS quality controls make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$104,144End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service (NWS) Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) recorded a maximum temperature of 73°F on May 12 at 4 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 72-73°F outcome as data finalizes on Weather Underground. Persistent morning overcast skies severely limited solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while east winds and mid-level moisture trapped under a lingering upper-level trough suppressed highs far below the climatological May normal of 80°F—a pattern corroborated by NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model runs. With observations complete, realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions uncovering overlooked peaks, though NWS quality controls make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$104,144End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service (NWS) Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) observations at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL) recorded a maximum temperature of 73°F on May 12 at 4 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 72-73°F outcome as data finalizes on Weather Underground. Persistent morning overcast skies severely limited solar insolation and boundary-layer heating, while east winds and mid-level moisture trapped under a lingering upper-level trough suppressed highs far below the climatological May normal of 80°F—a pattern corroborated by NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model runs. With observations complete, realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions uncovering overlooked peaks, though NWS quality controls make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions