Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate highs near 32–33°C on June 26 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Late-month climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C with occasional peaks to 35°C, while current model guidance notes limited intensification potential due to regional moisture and possible thunderstorms. Key variables include cloud cover reducing insolation, urban heat island effects elevating readings, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow clearer skies or brief heat buildup. The dispersed probabilities reflect forecast uncertainty typical two days out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on June 26?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$102,191 交易量
$102,191 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$102,191 交易量
$102,191 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent forecasts for Beijing indicate highs near 32–33°C on June 26 under partly cloudy to overcast skies, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Late-month climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C with occasional peaks to 35°C, while current model guidance notes limited intensification potential due to regional moisture and possible thunderstorms. Key variables include cloud cover reducing insolation, urban heat island effects elevating readings, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow clearer skies or brief heat buildup. The dispersed probabilities reflect forecast uncertainty typical two days out, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题