Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月6日巴黎最低气温？
7月6日巴黎最低气温？
16°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,759 交易量
$37,759 交易量
2026-07-06
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,759 交易量
$37,759 交易量
2026-07-06
13°C或以下
$1,350 交易量
否
14°C
$1,425 交易量
否
15°C
$2,164 交易量
否
16°C
$8,623 交易量
是
17°C
$6,864 交易量
否
18°C
$4,051 交易量
否
19°C
$3,402 交易量
否
20°C
$2,744 交易量
否
21°C
$2,222 交易量
否
22°C
$2,103 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$2,811 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$37,759结束日期
2026-07-06市场开放时间
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,759结束日期
2026-07-06市场开放时间
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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