Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日伦敦气温最高？
8月2日伦敦气温最高？
26°C 36%
27°C 32%
25°C 17%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
32%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 32%
25°C 17%
28°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
22°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$50 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$0 交易量
17%
26°C
$410 交易量
36%
27°C
$0 交易量
32%
28°C
$0 交易量
15%
29°C
$6 交易量
4%
30°C
$20 交易量
2%
31°C
$10 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$507结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$507结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models place London's August 2 daytime maximum near 26–28°C under building high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 26°C (32.5% implied probability) and 27°C (23.5%). These conditions favor above-average warmth for early August but lack the strong subtropical ridge needed for 29°C+ extremes, while variable cloud and light winds keep sub-25°C outcomes viable. Model spreads in timing of any frontal passage and urban heat-island effects create the observed uncertainty band, with traders weighting the latest 48-hour guidance and verification trends ahead of final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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