Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
7月31日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
23°C 32%
24°C 26%
22°C 23%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
23%
23°C
32%
24°C
26%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 32%
24°C 26%
22°C 23%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
18°C or below
$39 交易量
1%
19°C
$23 交易量
2%
20°C
$124 交易量
4%
21°C
$96 交易量
7%
22°C
$60 交易量
23%
23°C
$315 交易量
32%
24°C
$33 交易量
26%
25°C
$50 交易量
14%
26°C
$150 交易量
4%
27°C
$107 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$45 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,041结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,041结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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