Current ensemble forecasts from major models position Munich's July 31 peak near 34–36°C, aligning with the near-tie between 35°C and 36°C market-implied odds. A strong high-pressure ridge over central Europe favors clear skies and subsidence warming, while light southerly flow advects warmer air from the Mediterranean; however, subtle differences in timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cumulus development create the spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Official stations record daily maxima under these conditions with roughly 1–2°C uncertainty from local siting and measurement timing, keeping 37°C a plausible but lower-probability tail. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour forecast refinements will likely tighten resolution before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日慕尼黑最高温度？
7月31日慕尼黑最高温度？
36°C 44%
35°C 30%
37°C 22%
38°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
30%
36°C
44%
37°C
22%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
36°C 44%
35°C 30%
37°C 22%
38°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
32°C或以下
$14 交易量
2%
33°C
$5 交易量
2%
34°C
$119 交易量
5%
35°C
$154 交易量
30%
36°C
$1,658 交易量
44%
37°C
$87 交易量
22%
38°C
$167 交易量
5%
39°C
$105 交易量
1%
40°C
$43 交易量
1%
41°C
$93 交易量
<1%
42°C或更高
$114 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models position Munich's July 31 peak near 34–36°C, aligning with the near-tie between 35°C and 36°C market-implied odds. A strong high-pressure ridge over central Europe favors clear skies and subsidence warming, while light southerly flow advects warmer air from the Mediterranean; however, subtle differences in timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cumulus development create the spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Official stations record daily maxima under these conditions with roughly 1–2°C uncertainty from local siting and measurement timing, keeping 37°C a plausible but lower-probability tail. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour forecast refinements will likely tighten resolution before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,560结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models position Munich's July 31 peak near 34–36°C, aligning with the near-tie between 35°C and 36°C market-implied odds. A strong high-pressure ridge over central Europe favors clear skies and subsidence warming, while light southerly flow advects warmer air from the Mediterranean; however, subtle differences in timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cumulus development create the spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Official stations record daily maxima under these conditions with roughly 1–2°C uncertainty from local siting and measurement timing, keeping 37°C a plausible but lower-probability tail. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour forecast refinements will likely tighten resolution before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,560结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from major models position Munich's July 31 peak near 34–36°C, aligning with the near-tie between 35°C and 36°C market-implied odds. A strong high-pressure ridge over central Europe favors clear skies and subsidence warming, while light southerly flow advects warmer air from the Mediterranean; however, subtle differences in timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cumulus development create the spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Official stations record daily maxima under these conditions with roughly 1–2°C uncertainty from local siting and measurement timing, keeping 37°C a plausible but lower-probability tail. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour forecast refinements will likely tighten resolution before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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