Strong consensus on 33°C as Warsaw’s daily maximum on July 31 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak under predominantly sunny conditions with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. High-pressure dominance limited convective cooling, while urban heat-island effects and dry soils kept surface temperatures elevated yet capped near this threshold, consistent with model guidance from recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs. Historical July baselines for the city average around 25–26 °C, making today’s reading notably above normal but within the envelope of recent warm spells. Minor uncertainties in exact station siting or brief wind shifts could theoretically adjust the recorded high by 1 °C, though late-day data releases from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management make any revision improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日华沙最高气温？
7月31日华沙最高气温？
33°C 100.0%
32°C或以下 <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$34,526 交易量
$34,526 交易量
2026-07-31
32°C或以下
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
32°C或以下 <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$34,526 交易量
$34,526 交易量
2026-07-31
32°C或以下
$3,578 交易量
否
33°C
$6,150 交易量
是
34°C
$4,441 交易量
否
35°C
$4,707 交易量
否
36°C
$4,822 交易量
否
37°C
$4,387 交易量
否
38°C
$3,912 交易量
否
39°C
$1,256 交易量
否
40°C
$306 交易量
否
41°C
$406 交易量
否
42°C或更高
$562 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus on 33°C as Warsaw’s daily maximum on July 31 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak under predominantly sunny conditions with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. High-pressure dominance limited convective cooling, while urban heat-island effects and dry soils kept surface temperatures elevated yet capped near this threshold, consistent with model guidance from recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs. Historical July baselines for the city average around 25–26 °C, making today’s reading notably above normal but within the envelope of recent warm spells. Minor uncertainties in exact station siting or brief wind shifts could theoretically adjust the recorded high by 1 °C, though late-day data releases from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management make any revision improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$34,526结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus on 33°C as Warsaw’s daily maximum on July 31 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak under predominantly sunny conditions with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. High-pressure dominance limited convective cooling, while urban heat-island effects and dry soils kept surface temperatures elevated yet capped near this threshold, consistent with model guidance from recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs. Historical July baselines for the city average around 25–26 °C, making today’s reading notably above normal but within the envelope of recent warm spells. Minor uncertainties in exact station siting or brief wind shifts could theoretically adjust the recorded high by 1 °C, though late-day data releases from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management make any revision improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,526结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Strong consensus on 33°C as Warsaw’s daily maximum on July 31 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak under predominantly sunny conditions with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. High-pressure dominance limited convective cooling, while urban heat-island effects and dry soils kept surface temperatures elevated yet capped near this threshold, consistent with model guidance from recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs. Historical July baselines for the city average around 25–26 °C, making today’s reading notably above normal but within the envelope of recent warm spells. Minor uncertainties in exact station siting or brief wind shifts could theoretically adjust the recorded high by 1 °C, though late-day data releases from Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management make any revision improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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