Recent short-term forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance, indicate a typical early-August high near 15–16°C in Buenos Aires under light northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with 17°C remaining plausible if insolation strengthens while cooler 14°C scenarios arise from increased low-level stratus. This aligns with climatological August averages of 16–17°C highs and follows neutral-to-mild conditions observed in late July, absent any strong frontal passages or El Niño-driven anomalies that would substantially alter the daily maximum. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine resolution criteria for the precise peak reading.