Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日上海气温最高？
8月1日上海气温最高？
36°C 38%
37°C 31%
35°C 20%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
20%
36°C
38%
37°C
31%
38°C
11%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
37°C 31%
35°C 20%
38°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
31°C or below
$84 交易量
<1%
32°C
$216 交易量
1%
33°C
$108 交易量
2%
34°C
$280 交易量
4%
35°C
$328 交易量
20%
36°C
$182 交易量
38%
37°C
$173 交易量
31%
38°C
$167 交易量
11%
39°C
$127 交易量
4%
40°C
$121 交易量
2%
41°C or higher
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,805结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,805结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus for Shanghai’s August 1 highest temperature centers on 36–37 °C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread amid persistent subtropical high pressure and regional heat. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate typically yields August daytime maxima near 32 °C, yet recent late-July observations above 38 °C, combined with urban heat-island amplification and long-term warming of roughly 1.9 °C per century, support elevated outcomes. Model divergence in low-level moisture and steering winds creates the narrow probability gap between 36 °C (37.5 %) and 37 °C (28.5 %), while China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated numerical runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the 34–38 °C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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