Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日青岛气温最高?
36°C 34%
35°C 32%
34°C 21%
37°C 12%
28°C及以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32℃
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
32%
36°C
34%
37°C
12%
38°C或更高
6%
36°C 34%
35°C 32%
34°C 21%
37°C 12%
28°C及以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32℃
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
32%
36°C
34%
37°C
12%
38°C或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecast models for Qingdao indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring above-average maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 1, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow reducing typical marine cooling. Coastal sea-breeze effects and any late-day convective development introduce the main uncertainty, keeping the distribution of trader-implied odds clustered between 35 °C and 38 °C or higher. Historical August maxima average ~29 °C, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly; resolution hinges on whether observed peak readings cross category thresholds before 24:00 local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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