Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
8月1日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 24%
24°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
24%
26°C
35%
27°C
33%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31℃
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 24%
24°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
22°C或以下
$105 交易量
1%
23°C
$102 交易量
2%
24°C
$263 交易量
8%
25°C
$322 交易量
24%
26°C
$147 交易量
35%
27°C
$571 交易量
33%
28°C
$78 交易量
4%
29°C
$89 交易量
1%
30°C
$90 交易量
1%
31℃
$95 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$139 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,000结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,000结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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