Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 1, 2026, project a daytime high near 26°C and overnight minimum of 16°C, aligning with the 99.7% market-implied odds for that exact low. Numerical weather prediction models incorporate current surface observations, upper-air soundings, and steering patterns under a stable high-pressure regime that limits radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical London minima around 14–16°C, reinforcing model consensus. Shifts in cloud cover, unexpected wind changes, or localized urban heat island effects could nudge the recorded low slightly lower or higher before midnight resolution, though current guidance shows low variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日伦敦最低气温？
8月1日伦敦最低气温？
16°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
$14,288 交易量
$14,288 交易量
2026-08-01
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
16°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
$14,288 交易量
$14,288 交易量
2026-08-01
13°C或以下
$1,750 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,051 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,043 交易量
1%
16°C
$3,733 交易量
100%
17°C
$2,296 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,530 交易量
<1%
19°C
$557 交易量
<1%
20°C
$384 交易量
<1%
21°C
$384 交易量
<1%
22°C
$374 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$184 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 1, 2026, project a daytime high near 26°C and overnight minimum of 16°C, aligning with the 99.7% market-implied odds for that exact low. Numerical weather prediction models incorporate current surface observations, upper-air soundings, and steering patterns under a stable high-pressure regime that limits radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical London minima around 14–16°C, reinforcing model consensus. Shifts in cloud cover, unexpected wind changes, or localized urban heat island effects could nudge the recorded low slightly lower or higher before midnight resolution, though current guidance shows low variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,288结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 1, 2026, project a daytime high near 26°C and overnight minimum of 16°C, aligning with the 99.7% market-implied odds for that exact low. Numerical weather prediction models incorporate current surface observations, upper-air soundings, and steering patterns under a stable high-pressure regime that limits radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical London minima around 14–16°C, reinforcing model consensus. Shifts in cloud cover, unexpected wind changes, or localized urban heat island effects could nudge the recorded low slightly lower or higher before midnight resolution, though current guidance shows low variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,288结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial Met Office forecasts for London on August 1, 2026, project a daytime high near 26°C and overnight minimum of 16°C, aligning with the 99.7% market-implied odds for that exact low. Numerical weather prediction models incorporate current surface observations, upper-air soundings, and steering patterns under a stable high-pressure regime that limits radiative cooling overnight. Historical August climatology shows typical London minima around 14–16°C, reinforcing model consensus. Shifts in cloud cover, unexpected wind changes, or localized urban heat island effects could nudge the recorded low slightly lower or higher before midnight resolution, though current guidance shows low variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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