Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate mild overnight conditions for London on August 3, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 14–16°C amid above-average warmth persisting into early August. Trader consensus clustering on 17–19°C as leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in radiative cooling rates, driven by variables such as cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat retention that can elevate the daily low by 2–4°C above climatological norms of around 14°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to any incoming Atlantic fronts or clearer skies, which could drop readings toward 16°C or sustain them near 19°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日伦敦最低气温？
8月3日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 41%
19°C 32%
17°C 27%
20°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
27%
18°C
41%
19°C
32%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 32%
17°C 27%
20°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
14°C或以下
$91 交易量
1%
15°C
$105 交易量
5%
16°C
$42 交易量
5%
17°C
$45 交易量
27%
18°C
$47 交易量
41%
19°C
$42 交易量
32%
20°C
$38 交易量
5%
21°C
$81 交易量
3%
22°C
$76 交易量
1%
23°C
$198 交易量
1%
24°C或更高
$29 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate mild overnight conditions for London on August 3, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 14–16°C amid above-average warmth persisting into early August. Trader consensus clustering on 17–19°C as leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in radiative cooling rates, driven by variables such as cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat retention that can elevate the daily low by 2–4°C above climatological norms of around 14°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to any incoming Atlantic fronts or clearer skies, which could drop readings toward 16°C or sustain them near 19°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$795结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate mild overnight conditions for London on August 3, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 14–16°C amid above-average warmth persisting into early August. Trader consensus clustering on 17–19°C as leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in radiative cooling rates, driven by variables such as cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat retention that can elevate the daily low by 2–4°C above climatological norms of around 14°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to any incoming Atlantic fronts or clearer skies, which could drop readings toward 16°C or sustain them near 19°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$795结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate mild overnight conditions for London on August 3, with minimum temperatures likely ranging 14–16°C amid above-average warmth persisting into early August. Trader consensus clustering on 17–19°C as leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in radiative cooling rates, driven by variables such as cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat retention that can elevate the daily low by 2–4°C above climatological norms of around 14°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to any incoming Atlantic fronts or clearer skies, which could drop readings toward 16°C or sustain them near 19°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题