Recent numerical weather prediction models highlight a strengthening high-pressure ridge over eastern China as the main driver pushing Qingdao's peak temperatures toward 34–35 °C on August 3. Ensemble guidance shows modest agreement on subsidence and reduced cloud cover, though small shifts in the subtropical ridge axis or onshore flow from the Yellow Sea could trim highs by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology places mean maxima near 30 °C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by limited moisture advection and light winds limiting mixing. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes against typical model spread at this forecast range, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日青岛气温最高？
8月3日青岛气温最高？
35°C 34%
34°C 30%
36°C 22%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
34%
36°C
22%
37°C或更高
8%
35°C 34%
34°C 30%
36°C 22%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
27°C或以下
$306 交易量
<1%
28°C
$306 交易量
<1%
29°C
$416 交易量
<1%
30°C
$10 交易量
1%
31°C
$20 交易量
3%
32°C
$77 交易量
3%
33°C
$67 交易量
11%
34°C
$251 交易量
30%
35°C
$153 交易量
34%
36°C
$5 交易量
22%
37°C或更高
$165 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models highlight a strengthening high-pressure ridge over eastern China as the main driver pushing Qingdao's peak temperatures toward 34–35 °C on August 3. Ensemble guidance shows modest agreement on subsidence and reduced cloud cover, though small shifts in the subtropical ridge axis or onshore flow from the Yellow Sea could trim highs by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology places mean maxima near 30 °C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by limited moisture advection and light winds limiting mixing. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes against typical model spread at this forecast range, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,778结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models highlight a strengthening high-pressure ridge over eastern China as the main driver pushing Qingdao's peak temperatures toward 34–35 °C on August 3. Ensemble guidance shows modest agreement on subsidence and reduced cloud cover, though small shifts in the subtropical ridge axis or onshore flow from the Yellow Sea could trim highs by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology places mean maxima near 30 °C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by limited moisture advection and light winds limiting mixing. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes against typical model spread at this forecast range, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,778结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models highlight a strengthening high-pressure ridge over eastern China as the main driver pushing Qingdao's peak temperatures toward 34–35 °C on August 3. Ensemble guidance shows modest agreement on subsidence and reduced cloud cover, though small shifts in the subtropical ridge axis or onshore flow from the Yellow Sea could trim highs by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology places mean maxima near 30 °C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by limited moisture advection and light winds limiting mixing. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes against typical model spread at this forecast range, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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