Trader consensus on the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on seasonal norms and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, or JMA, favoring 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent influence of an above-normal Pacific High has sustained warm air masses across Honshu, with recent model runs projecting overnight lows near the 23.9°C August climatological average under cloudy skies expected for August 3. This setup limits radiative cooling while humidity supports typical urban heat retention, keeping probabilities clustered around 23–25°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm minimal deviation without fresh frontal passages. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日东京最低气温？
8月3日东京最低气温？
24°C 72%
23°C 22%
25°C 21%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
12%
23°C
22%
24°C
61%
25°C
21%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
1%
24°C 72%
23°C 22%
25°C 21%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
19°C或以下
$37 交易量
1%
20°C
$37 交易量
1%
21°C
$5 交易量
8%
22°C
$5 交易量
12%
23°C
$110 交易量
22%
24°C
$15 交易量
61%
25°C
$36 交易量
21%
26°C
$6 交易量
8%
27°C
$38 交易量
3%
28°C
$27 交易量
1%
29°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on seasonal norms and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, or JMA, favoring 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent influence of an above-normal Pacific High has sustained warm air masses across Honshu, with recent model runs projecting overnight lows near the 23.9°C August climatological average under cloudy skies expected for August 3. This setup limits radiative cooling while humidity supports typical urban heat retention, keeping probabilities clustered around 23–25°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm minimal deviation without fresh frontal passages. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$319结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on seasonal norms and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, or JMA, favoring 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent influence of an above-normal Pacific High has sustained warm air masses across Honshu, with recent model runs projecting overnight lows near the 23.9°C August climatological average under cloudy skies expected for August 3. This setup limits radiative cooling while humidity supports typical urban heat retention, keeping probabilities clustered around 23–25°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm minimal deviation without fresh frontal passages. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$319结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus on the Tokyo minimum temperature market centers on seasonal norms and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency, or JMA, favoring 24°C as the leading outcome. Persistent influence of an above-normal Pacific High has sustained warm air masses across Honshu, with recent model runs projecting overnight lows near the 23.9°C August climatological average under cloudy skies expected for August 3. This setup limits radiative cooling while humidity supports typical urban heat retention, keeping probabilities clustered around 23–25°C. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm minimal deviation without fresh frontal passages. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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