Recent forecast guidance and climatological patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions where overnight lows commonly range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows limited cooling potential from current warm patterns, with daytime highs near 34–36°C sustaining elevated minima, while historical data place early-month averages around 26°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C aligns with the narrow window before any potential typhoon-related shifts or clearer nights, though forecast uncertainty remains due to evolving steering patterns and the two-day lead time to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日上海最低气温?
28°C 51%
27°C 30%
29°C 9%
23°C 7%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
30%
28°C
54%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 30%
29°C 9%
23°C 7%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
30%
28°C
54%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance and climatological patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions where overnight lows commonly range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows limited cooling potential from current warm patterns, with daytime highs near 34–36°C sustaining elevated minima, while historical data place early-month averages around 26°C. Trader emphasis on 27–28°C aligns with the narrow window before any potential typhoon-related shifts or clearer nights, though forecast uncertainty remains due to evolving steering patterns and the two-day lead time to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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