Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月3日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
32°C 38%
31°C 33%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
33%
32°C
38%
33°C
15%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 33%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
27°C或以下
$20 交易量
<1%
28°C
$132 交易量
6%
29°C
$260 交易量
5%
30°C
$268 交易量
13%
31°C
$199 交易量
33%
32°C
$1,025 交易量
38%
33°C
$993 交易量
15%
34°C
$157 交易量
6%
35°C
$135 交易量
4%
36°C
$116 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$106 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,411结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,411结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETShort-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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