Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a likely daily high in Helsinki around 19–21°C on August 3, with partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow limiting strong warming. This aligns closely with climatological August averages of 19–20°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any diurnal peak, which numerical weather prediction runs continue to refine ahead of the short-range update window. Traders are weighting recent model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C for this timeframe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日赫尔辛基气温最高?
21°C 36%
22°C 29%
23°C 13%
20°C 11%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
36%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 29%
23°C 13%
20°C 11%
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
36%
22°C
29%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate a likely daily high in Helsinki around 19–21°C on August 3, with partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow limiting strong warming. This aligns closely with climatological August averages of 19–20°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any diurnal peak, which numerical weather prediction runs continue to refine ahead of the short-range update window. Traders are weighting recent model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C for this timeframe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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