Current short-term forecast guidance from agencies like NIWA and international models points to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by transient high-pressure influence and lighter southerly winds rather than strong cold outbreaks, supporting daily maxima near 15–16 °C. Seasonal outlook data show temperatures most likely near or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, yet recent model runs have trended warmer for early August amid emerging El Niño conditions that can modulate regional flow patterns. Resolution hinges on the official MetService or equivalent maximum temperature reading, with traders balancing ensemble spread that still allows for cooler 14 °C outcomes if stronger southerlies develop. Upcoming model updates and the 48-hour forecast window will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月3日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 41%
16°C 41%
14°C 11%
17°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
11%
15°C
41%
16°C
41%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 41%
16°C 41%
14°C 11%
17°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
10°C or below
$371 交易量
<1%
11°C
$58 交易量
<1%
12°C
$148 交易量
1%
13°C
$35 交易量
2%
14°C
$153 交易量
11%
15°C
$166 交易量
41%
16°C
$148 交易量
41%
17°C
$169 交易量
10%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$52 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast guidance from agencies like NIWA and international models points to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by transient high-pressure influence and lighter southerly winds rather than strong cold outbreaks, supporting daily maxima near 15–16 °C. Seasonal outlook data show temperatures most likely near or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, yet recent model runs have trended warmer for early August amid emerging El Niño conditions that can modulate regional flow patterns. Resolution hinges on the official MetService or equivalent maximum temperature reading, with traders balancing ensemble spread that still allows for cooler 14 °C outcomes if stronger southerlies develop. Upcoming model updates and the 48-hour forecast window will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,299结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast guidance from agencies like NIWA and international models points to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by transient high-pressure influence and lighter southerly winds rather than strong cold outbreaks, supporting daily maxima near 15–16 °C. Seasonal outlook data show temperatures most likely near or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, yet recent model runs have trended warmer for early August amid emerging El Niño conditions that can modulate regional flow patterns. Resolution hinges on the official MetService or equivalent maximum temperature reading, with traders balancing ensemble spread that still allows for cooler 14 °C outcomes if stronger southerlies develop. Upcoming model updates and the 48-hour forecast window will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,299结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent short-term forecast guidance from agencies like NIWA and international models points to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by transient high-pressure influence and lighter southerly winds rather than strong cold outbreaks, supporting daily maxima near 15–16 °C. Seasonal outlook data show temperatures most likely near or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, yet recent model runs have trended warmer for early August amid emerging El Niño conditions that can modulate regional flow patterns. Resolution hinges on the official MetService or equivalent maximum temperature reading, with traders balancing ensemble spread that still allows for cooler 14 °C outcomes if stronger southerlies develop. Upcoming model updates and the 48-hour forecast window will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题