Recent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's August 3 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because historical August maxima average near 31°C yet frequently dip lower when convective activity or thick cloud decks develop, as seen in recent weeks. Key differentiating factors include soil moisture levels, wind patterns, and the strength of the monsoon trough, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月3日马尼拉的最高温度？
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
32%
30°C
23%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
24°C或以下
$286 交易量
1%
25°C
$302 交易量
1%
26°C
$69 交易量
3%
27°C
$92 交易量
7%
28°C
$137 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
32%
30°C
$13 交易量
23%
31°C
$0 交易量
12%
32°C
$91 交易量
2%
33°C
$34 交易量
1%
34°C或更高
$21 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's August 3 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because historical August maxima average near 31°C yet frequently dip lower when convective activity or thick cloud decks develop, as seen in recent weeks. Key differentiating factors include soil moisture levels, wind patterns, and the strength of the monsoon trough, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,044结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's August 3 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because historical August maxima average near 31°C yet frequently dip lower when convective activity or thick cloud decks develop, as seen in recent weeks. Key differentiating factors include soil moisture levels, wind patterns, and the strength of the monsoon trough, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,044结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's August 3 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because historical August maxima average near 31°C yet frequently dip lower when convective activity or thick cloud decks develop, as seen in recent weeks. Key differentiating factors include soil moisture levels, wind patterns, and the strength of the monsoon trough, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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