Trader consensus on the Milan temperature market centers on ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicating a peak of 34–36°C on August 3 under stable high-pressure dominance across the Po Valley, which promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 35°C at 37.5% and 34°C at 26%. Lingering warmth from the broader 2026 European heat pattern supports these outcomes while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection keeps lower and higher bins at reduced shares. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 48 hours could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日米兰最高气温？
8月3日米兰最高气温？
35°C 38%
34°C 27%
36°C 22%
33°C or below 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
33°C or below
17%
34°C
27%
35°C
38%
36°C
22%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 27%
36°C 22%
33°C or below 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
33°C or below
$613 交易量
17%
34°C
$176 交易量
27%
35°C
$177 交易量
38%
36°C
$148 交易量
22%
37°C
$120 交易量
3%
38°C
$31 交易量
2%
39°C
$112 交易量
<1%
40°C
$75 交易量
<1%
41°C
$53 交易量
<1%
42°C
$111 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$108 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Milan temperature market centers on ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicating a peak of 34–36°C on August 3 under stable high-pressure dominance across the Po Valley, which promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 35°C at 37.5% and 34°C at 26%. Lingering warmth from the broader 2026 European heat pattern supports these outcomes while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection keeps lower and higher bins at reduced shares. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 48 hours could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,723结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Milan temperature market centers on ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicating a peak of 34–36°C on August 3 under stable high-pressure dominance across the Po Valley, which promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 35°C at 37.5% and 34°C at 26%. Lingering warmth from the broader 2026 European heat pattern supports these outcomes while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection keeps lower and higher bins at reduced shares. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 48 hours could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,723结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus on the Milan temperature market centers on ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicating a peak of 34–36°C on August 3 under stable high-pressure dominance across the Po Valley, which promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 35°C at 37.5% and 34°C at 26%. Lingering warmth from the broader 2026 European heat pattern supports these outcomes while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection keeps lower and higher bins at reduced shares. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 48 hours could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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