Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local agencies show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Shenzhen through August 3, limiting solar heating and capping daily highs near 28–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh the consensus from numerical weather prediction ensembles against potential brief clearings that could allow 30°C readings. Subtropical monsoon patterns typical for the region in early August further suppress peak temperatures compared to drier historical analogs, with resolution hinging on precise timing of precipitation and any last-minute model shifts before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日深圳气温最高？
8月3日深圳气温最高？
29°C 31%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
24%
29°C
31%
30°C
22%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C或更高
1%
29°C 31%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
$415 交易量
<1%
24°C
$435 交易量
1%
25°C
$198 交易量
2%
26°C
$112 交易量
4%
27°C
$115 交易量
10%
28°C
$95 交易量
24%
29°C
$103 交易量
31%
30°C
$99 交易量
22%
31°C
$209 交易量
12%
32°C
$123 交易量
5%
33°C或更高
$1,754 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local agencies show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Shenzhen through August 3, limiting solar heating and capping daily highs near 28–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh the consensus from numerical weather prediction ensembles against potential brief clearings that could allow 30°C readings. Subtropical monsoon patterns typical for the region in early August further suppress peak temperatures compared to drier historical analogs, with resolution hinging on precise timing of precipitation and any last-minute model shifts before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,659结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local agencies show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Shenzhen through August 3, limiting solar heating and capping daily highs near 28–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh the consensus from numerical weather prediction ensembles against potential brief clearings that could allow 30°C readings. Subtropical monsoon patterns typical for the region in early August further suppress peak temperatures compared to drier historical analogs, with resolution hinging on precise timing of precipitation and any last-minute model shifts before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,659结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local agencies show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Shenzhen through August 3, limiting solar heating and capping daily highs near 28–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh the consensus from numerical weather prediction ensembles against potential brief clearings that could allow 30°C readings. Subtropical monsoon patterns typical for the region in early August further suppress peak temperatures compared to drier historical analogs, with resolution hinging on precise timing of precipitation and any last-minute model shifts before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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