Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's August 3 high will likely fall between 33–35°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers that could suppress afternoon peaks. The near-even split between 33°C and 34°C odds reflects model spread on cloud cover timing and urban heat-island amplification, with 34°C favored if clearer skies allow greater solar heating. Historical August baselines average near 31°C, but early-month heat episodes often push readings 2–4°C higher; resolution hinges on official station maxima, sensitive to localized precipitation and wind shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日北京气温最高?
34°C 34%
33°C 34%
32°C 20%
31°C 12%
29°C或以下
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
20%
33°C
34%
34°C
34%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 34%
32°C 20%
31°C 12%
29°C或以下
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
20%
33°C
34%
34°C
34%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing's August 3 high will likely fall between 33–35°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers that could suppress afternoon peaks. The near-even split between 33°C and 34°C odds reflects model spread on cloud cover timing and urban heat-island amplification, with 34°C favored if clearer skies allow greater solar heating. Historical August baselines average near 31°C, but early-month heat episodes often push readings 2–4°C higher; resolution hinges on official station maxima, sensitive to localized precipitation and wind shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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