Forecast models from Meteo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will produce minimum temperatures in central Paris near 20–21 °C on August 3, with light northeasterly winds limiting nocturnal cooling and partly cloudy skies reducing radiative heat loss. Urban heat-island effects and recent daytime highs near 34 °C further support overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s °C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly between 18 °C and 21 °C because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C; updated runs expected later today will refine the guidance ahead of the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日巴黎最低气温?
20°C 29%
19°C 28%
21°C 21%
18°C 17%
17°C或以下
3%
18°C
17%
19°C
28%
20°C
29%
21°C
21%
22°C
9%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C或更高
1%
20°C 29%
19°C 28%
21°C 21%
18°C 17%
17°C或以下
3%
18°C
17%
19°C
28%
20°C
29%
21°C
21%
22°C
9%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C
6%
27°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Meteo-France and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over northern France will produce minimum temperatures in central Paris near 20–21 °C on August 3, with light northeasterly winds limiting nocturnal cooling and partly cloudy skies reducing radiative heat loss. Urban heat-island effects and recent daytime highs near 34 °C further support overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s °C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly between 18 °C and 21 °C because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C; updated runs expected later today will refine the guidance ahead of the overnight period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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