Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to improving conditions over Chengdu by August 3, with reduced thunderstorm activity and partial clearing that could allow greater solar insolation and push daytime maxima into the low 30s °C range. Persistent early-August monsoon moisture and high humidity in the Sichuan basin typically enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping peaks near seasonal averages of 30–32 °C, yet any delay in precipitation or stronger subsidence could enable brief warming toward 33–34 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33 °C reflects this sensitivity to short-term forecast shifts in cloud fraction and wind patterns, with lower-probability extremes hinging on unexpected intensification of rain or rapid clearing. Updated runs from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日成都气温最高？
8月3日成都气温最高？
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
31°C 22%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
29%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
5%
36°C或更高
2%
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
31°C 22%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
26°C或以下
$43 交易量
<1%
27°C
$49 交易量
1%
28°C
$36 交易量
3%
29°C
$45 交易量
7%
30°C
$26 交易量
7%
31°C
$16 交易量
22%
32°C
$68 交易量
29%
33°C
$124 交易量
31%
34°C
$36 交易量
11%
35°C
$36 交易量
5%
36°C或更高
$92 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to improving conditions over Chengdu by August 3, with reduced thunderstorm activity and partial clearing that could allow greater solar insolation and push daytime maxima into the low 30s °C range. Persistent early-August monsoon moisture and high humidity in the Sichuan basin typically enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping peaks near seasonal averages of 30–32 °C, yet any delay in precipitation or stronger subsidence could enable brief warming toward 33–34 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33 °C reflects this sensitivity to short-term forecast shifts in cloud fraction and wind patterns, with lower-probability extremes hinging on unexpected intensification of rain or rapid clearing. Updated runs from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$569结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to improving conditions over Chengdu by August 3, with reduced thunderstorm activity and partial clearing that could allow greater solar insolation and push daytime maxima into the low 30s °C range. Persistent early-August monsoon moisture and high humidity in the Sichuan basin typically enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping peaks near seasonal averages of 30–32 °C, yet any delay in precipitation or stronger subsidence could enable brief warming toward 33–34 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33 °C reflects this sensitivity to short-term forecast shifts in cloud fraction and wind patterns, with lower-probability extremes hinging on unexpected intensification of rain or rapid clearing. Updated runs from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$569结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to improving conditions over Chengdu by August 3, with reduced thunderstorm activity and partial clearing that could allow greater solar insolation and push daytime maxima into the low 30s °C range. Persistent early-August monsoon moisture and high humidity in the Sichuan basin typically enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping peaks near seasonal averages of 30–32 °C, yet any delay in precipitation or stronger subsidence could enable brief warming toward 33–34 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–33 °C reflects this sensitivity to short-term forecast shifts in cloud fraction and wind patterns, with lower-probability extremes hinging on unexpected intensification of rain or rapid clearing. Updated runs from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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