Current forecasts for Wuhan on August 3 project daily maxima near 35–36°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with market odds clustered around 36°C and 37°C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective activity. In this region, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any thundery showers that can cap heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show a stable ridge with moderate instability, where small shifts in precipitation timing or wind could easily differentiate outcomes between 35°C and 38°C. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, but urban heat effects and humidity levels near 70–80% amplify sensitivity to these variables ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日武汉气温最高?
36°C 34%
37°C 30%
38°C 19%
35°C 11%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
9%
35°C
11%
36°C
34%
37°C
30%
38°C
19%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C或以上
2%
36°C 34%
37°C 30%
38°C 19%
35°C 11%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
9%
35°C
11%
36°C
34%
37°C
30%
38°C
19%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Wuhan on August 3 project daily maxima near 35–36°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with market odds clustered around 36°C and 37°C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective activity. In this region, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any thundery showers that can cap heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show a stable ridge with moderate instability, where small shifts in precipitation timing or wind could easily differentiate outcomes between 35°C and 38°C. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, but urban heat effects and humidity levels near 70–80% amplify sensitivity to these variables ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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