Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a peak daytime high near 35–36°C for Wuhan on August 2 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and isolated thundery showers that could limit afternoon heating. Trader consensus clusters on 36–37°C because small variations in cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, or urban heat retention can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while historical August extremes above 38°C remain possible but less favored without stronger subsidence or clear skies. Upcoming model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日武汉气温最高?
37°C 32%
36°C 31%
38°C 21%
35°C 13%
31°C或以下
1%
32℃
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
13%
36°C
31%
37°C
32%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
5%
37°C 32%
36°C 31%
38°C 21%
35°C 13%
31°C或以下
1%
32℃
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
13%
36°C
31%
37°C
32%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a peak daytime high near 35–36°C for Wuhan on August 2 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and isolated thundery showers that could limit afternoon heating. Trader consensus clusters on 36–37°C because small variations in cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, or urban heat retention can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while historical August extremes above 38°C remain possible but less favored without stronger subsidence or clear skies. Upcoming model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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