Recent forecasts from regional models point to a late-July heat surge in Busan driven by a strong subtropical high and southerly advection of warm, moist air from the East China Sea, pushing daytime maxima toward 37–40 °C on July 31. Coastal sea breezes and marine-layer moderation typically cap extremes, yet weak winds, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above 38 °C. Historical July averages near 29–30 °C underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the tightly matched 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine peak timing and any rainfall suppression ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日釜山气温最高？
7月31日釜山气温最高？
38°C 40%
37°C 23%
39°C 23%
40°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
34°C或以下
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
23%
38°C
40%
39°C
23%
40°C
10%
41°C
3%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C或更高
1%
38°C 40%
37°C 23%
39°C 23%
40°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
34°C或以下
$17 交易量
1%
35°C
$27 交易量
2%
36°C
$81 交易量
4%
37°C
$211 交易量
23%
38°C
$1,048 交易量
40%
39°C
$88 交易量
23%
40°C
$331 交易量
10%
41°C
$216 交易量
3%
42°C
$10 交易量
2%
43°C
$74 交易量
1%
44°C或更高
$385 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models point to a late-July heat surge in Busan driven by a strong subtropical high and southerly advection of warm, moist air from the East China Sea, pushing daytime maxima toward 37–40 °C on July 31. Coastal sea breezes and marine-layer moderation typically cap extremes, yet weak winds, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above 38 °C. Historical July averages near 29–30 °C underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the tightly matched 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine peak timing and any rainfall suppression ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,489结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models point to a late-July heat surge in Busan driven by a strong subtropical high and southerly advection of warm, moist air from the East China Sea, pushing daytime maxima toward 37–40 °C on July 31. Coastal sea breezes and marine-layer moderation typically cap extremes, yet weak winds, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above 38 °C. Historical July averages near 29–30 °C underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the tightly matched 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine peak timing and any rainfall suppression ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,489结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from regional models point to a late-July heat surge in Busan driven by a strong subtropical high and southerly advection of warm, moist air from the East China Sea, pushing daytime maxima toward 37–40 °C on July 31. Coastal sea breezes and marine-layer moderation typically cap extremes, yet weak winds, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above 38 °C. Historical July averages near 29–30 °C underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the tightly matched 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine peak timing and any rainfall suppression ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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