Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 28–30°C as the leading outcomes for Qingdao’s September 21 high, reflecting partly cloudy skies, northerly to westerly winds, and stable high pressure following mild late-summer conditions. Historical September averages near 25–26°C provide baseline context, yet current short-range guidance shows a modest warm anomaly consistent with coastal moderation and limited cloud cover. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, supporting the market’s concentration around these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in daily maxima. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日青岛气温最高?
28°C 41%
29°C 34%
27°C 11%
30°C 11%
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
41%
29°C
34%
30°C
11%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 34%
27°C 11%
30°C 11%
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
41%
29°C
34%
30°C
11%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 28–30°C as the leading outcomes for Qingdao’s September 21 high, reflecting partly cloudy skies, northerly to westerly winds, and stable high pressure following mild late-summer conditions. Historical September averages near 25–26°C provide baseline context, yet current short-range guidance shows a modest warm anomaly consistent with coastal moderation and limited cloud cover. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, supporting the market’s concentration around these values while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in daily maxima. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题