**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday high in Austin near the upper 90s, with most runs showing 96–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent late-summer warmth, modest afternoon mixing, and minimal cloud cover are the main drivers keeping probabilities concentrated on 96–99 °F. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects model-to-model differences in exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. With no strong frontal passage or widespread convection expected, the primary uncertainty remains how much daytime heating is realized versus suppressed by scattered afternoon clouds or very light showers. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will refine the final range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月21日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 43%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93华氏度
2%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
10%
102-103华氏度
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 43%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
89°F或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$182 交易量
<1%
92-93华氏度
$142 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$22 交易量
7%
96-97°F
$335 交易量
36%
98-99°F
$397 交易量
43%
100-101°F
$279 交易量
10%
102-103华氏度
$32 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$127 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$252 交易量
1%
108°F或更高
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday high in Austin near the upper 90s, with most runs showing 96–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent late-summer warmth, modest afternoon mixing, and minimal cloud cover are the main drivers keeping probabilities concentrated on 96–99 °F. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects model-to-model differences in exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. With no strong frontal passage or widespread convection expected, the primary uncertainty remains how much daytime heating is realized versus suppressed by scattered afternoon clouds or very light showers. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,991结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday high in Austin near the upper 90s, with most runs showing 96–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent late-summer warmth, modest afternoon mixing, and minimal cloud cover are the main drivers keeping probabilities concentrated on 96–99 °F. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects model-to-model differences in exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. With no strong frontal passage or widespread convection expected, the primary uncertainty remains how much daytime heating is realized versus suppressed by scattered afternoon clouds or very light showers. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,991结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday high in Austin near the upper 90s, with most runs showing 96–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent late-summer warmth, modest afternoon mixing, and minimal cloud cover are the main drivers keeping probabilities concentrated on 96–99 °F. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects model-to-model differences in exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. With no strong frontal passage or widespread convection expected, the primary uncertainty remains how much daytime heating is realized versus suppressed by scattered afternoon clouds or very light showers. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will refine the final range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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