Northeast winds and an incoming cooler air mass are driving trader consensus toward a daily minimum of 58-59°F in New York City on September 22, with that range holding 55.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service and model guidance show highs near 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40-70% chance of light rain or showers, with overnight lows settling in the mid-to-upper 50s as northerly flow persists. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 59.4°F for the date. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, keeping 60-61°F as the next most probable outcome at 26.5% while lower probabilities attach to warmer or much cooler thresholds. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日纽约市的最低温度？
9月22日纽约市的最低温度？
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 19%
56-57华氏度 11%
64-65°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
51°F或以下
5%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
7%
56-57华氏度
11%
58-59°F
56%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70华氏度或更高
2%
60-61°F 27%
62-63°F 19%
56-57华氏度 11%
64-65°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
51°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
5%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
7%
56-57华氏度
$0 交易量
11%
58-59°F
$97 交易量
56%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
27%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
19%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
11%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
2%
70华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds and an incoming cooler air mass are driving trader consensus toward a daily minimum of 58-59°F in New York City on September 22, with that range holding 55.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service and model guidance show highs near 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40-70% chance of light rain or showers, with overnight lows settling in the mid-to-upper 50s as northerly flow persists. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 59.4°F for the date. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, keeping 60-61°F as the next most probable outcome at 26.5% while lower probabilities attach to warmer or much cooler thresholds. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$97结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northeast winds and an incoming cooler air mass are driving trader consensus toward a daily minimum of 58-59°F in New York City on September 22, with that range holding 55.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service and model guidance show highs near 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40-70% chance of light rain or showers, with overnight lows settling in the mid-to-upper 50s as northerly flow persists. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 59.4°F for the date. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, keeping 60-61°F as the next most probable outcome at 26.5% while lower probabilities attach to warmer or much cooler thresholds. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$97结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNortheast winds and an incoming cooler air mass are driving trader consensus toward a daily minimum of 58-59°F in New York City on September 22, with that range holding 55.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service and model guidance show highs near 64°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40-70% chance of light rain or showers, with overnight lows settling in the mid-to-upper 50s as northerly flow persists. This aligns closely with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 59.4°F for the date. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, keeping 60-61°F as the next most probable outcome at 26.5% while lower probabilities attach to warmer or much cooler thresholds. Updated National Weather Service forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns ahead of the 22nd remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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