Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations have driven the near-certain market consensus on a 33°C daily maximum for September 20. Official guidance projected urban highs around 33°C under high-pressure influence with light easterly winds, and station readings confirm maxima clustered at 33.1–33.8°C at the HKO headquarters and nearby sites, with isolated spots reaching the mid-30s. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region. Only unexpected late-day surges beyond modeled ranges or revisions to the official HKO daily maximum could shift the outcome, though current data through evening hours show the peak already established.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日香港气温最高？
9月20日香港气温最高？
33℃ 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,879 交易量
$100,879 交易量
2026-09-20
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
33℃ 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$100,879 交易量
$100,879 交易量
2026-09-20
26°C或以下
$451 交易量
<1%
27°C
$513 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,409 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,232 交易量
<1%
30°C
$11,769 交易量
<1%
31°C
$18,103 交易量
<1%
32°C
$20,122 交易量
<1%
33℃
$22,198 交易量
100%
34°C
$18,898 交易量
<1%
35°C
$4,092 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$2,092 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations have driven the near-certain market consensus on a 33°C daily maximum for September 20. Official guidance projected urban highs around 33°C under high-pressure influence with light easterly winds, and station readings confirm maxima clustered at 33.1–33.8°C at the HKO headquarters and nearby sites, with isolated spots reaching the mid-30s. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region. Only unexpected late-day surges beyond modeled ranges or revisions to the official HKO daily maximum could shift the outcome, though current data through evening hours show the peak already established.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$100,879结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations have driven the near-certain market consensus on a 33°C daily maximum for September 20. Official guidance projected urban highs around 33°C under high-pressure influence with light easterly winds, and station readings confirm maxima clustered at 33.1–33.8°C at the HKO headquarters and nearby sites, with isolated spots reaching the mid-30s. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region. Only unexpected late-day surges beyond modeled ranges or revisions to the official HKO daily maximum could shift the outcome, though current data through evening hours show the peak already established.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$100,879结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETHong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations have driven the near-certain market consensus on a 33°C daily maximum for September 20. Official guidance projected urban highs around 33°C under high-pressure influence with light easterly winds, and station readings confirm maxima clustered at 33.1–33.8°C at the HKO headquarters and nearby sites, with isolated spots reaching the mid-30s. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region. Only unexpected late-day surges beyond modeled ranges or revisions to the official HKO daily maximum could shift the outcome, though current data through evening hours show the peak already established.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题