Recent short-range model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration shows mostly clear skies and light southerly flow over Qingdao on September 22, supporting daytime highs near 27 °C amid seasonal cooling from recent 28–29 °C readings. Trader emphasis on 30–31 °C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model underestimation of warm advection, consistent with historical September variability where daily maxima can exceed climatological averages of 26 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated guidance and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日青岛气温最高?
30°C 47%
31°C 36%
29°C 12%
32°C 9%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
47%
31°C
36%
32°C
9%
33°C
8%
34°C或更高
6%
30°C 47%
31°C 36%
29°C 12%
32°C 9%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
47%
31°C
36%
32°C
9%
33°C
8%
34°C或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration shows mostly clear skies and light southerly flow over Qingdao on September 22, supporting daytime highs near 27 °C amid seasonal cooling from recent 28–29 °C readings. Trader emphasis on 30–31 °C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model underestimation of warm advection, consistent with historical September variability where daily maxima can exceed climatological averages of 26 °C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated guidance and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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