Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 22 project a high near 99°F under mostly sunny conditions with light east to northeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Multiple models converge on upper-90s readings, though small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°F. This uncertainty keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins tied at the top of trader-implied odds. Historical September averages near 90°F provide context, but current atmospheric patterns support the elevated range without strong signals for extremes above 100°F or below 95°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月22日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 37%
94-95°F 19%
102-103°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
87华氏度或以下
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
9%
106华氏度或更高
6%
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 37%
94-95°F 19%
102-103°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
87华氏度或以下
$0 交易量
5%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
5%
90-91°F
$24 交易量
14%
92-93°F
$7 交易量
11%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
19%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
37%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
37%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
17%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
19%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
9%
106华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 22 project a high near 99°F under mostly sunny conditions with light east to northeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Multiple models converge on upper-90s readings, though small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°F. This uncertainty keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins tied at the top of trader-implied odds. Historical September averages near 90°F provide context, but current atmospheric patterns support the elevated range without strong signals for extremes above 100°F or below 95°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$31结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 22 project a high near 99°F under mostly sunny conditions with light east to northeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Multiple models converge on upper-90s readings, though small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°F. This uncertainty keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins tied at the top of trader-implied odds. Historical September averages near 90°F provide context, but current atmospheric patterns support the elevated range without strong signals for extremes above 100°F or below 95°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 22 project a high near 99°F under mostly sunny conditions with light east to northeast winds and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Multiple models converge on upper-90s readings, though small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–3°F. This uncertainty keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins tied at the top of trader-implied odds. Historical September averages near 90°F provide context, but current atmospheric patterns support the elevated range without strong signals for extremes above 100°F or below 95°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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