**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, and WindBorne consistently project a high of 26–28°C (79–82°F) for Busan on September 20, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds of 10–15 mph and negligible rain chances.** This positions 28–29°C as the market leaders (39% and 53.5% implied probabilities) because typical late-September radiative heating under high pressure supports afternoon peaks in the upper 20s°C, while seasonal cooling and onshore flow prevent stronger warming. Recent observations show stable conditions with no incoming fronts or typhoon influences, keeping model consensus tight around these values. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 28°C and 29°C against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will likely refine the final outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日釜山气温最高?
28°C 49%
29°C 40%
30°C 8%
27°C 3%
$17,162 交易量
$17,162 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
49%
29°C
40%
30°C
8%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 40%
30°C 8%
27°C 3%
$17,162 交易量
$17,162 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
49%
29°C
40%
30°C
8%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, and WindBorne consistently project a high of 26–28°C (79–82°F) for Busan on September 20, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds of 10–15 mph and negligible rain chances.** This positions 28–29°C as the market leaders (39% and 53.5% implied probabilities) because typical late-September radiative heating under high pressure supports afternoon peaks in the upper 20s°C, while seasonal cooling and onshore flow prevent stronger warming. Recent observations show stable conditions with no incoming fronts or typhoon influences, keeping model consensus tight around these values. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 28°C and 29°C against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing and local urban heat effects. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will likely refine the final outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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