Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions a high near 70°F for New York City on September 19, driving the strong market preference for the 70-71°F bin. A cooler air mass advecting from the north behind a weak front, combined with northeast to east winds of 8-10 mph, is expected to limit daytime warming after mid-80s readings earlier in the week. Forecast soundings show limited moisture and mostly partly cloudy skies, supporting the tight clustering around 70-72°F with minimal upside risk from mixing or insolation. Updated model runs through the weekend and any final NWS forecast adjustments ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日纽约市的最高温度？
9月19日纽约市的最高温度？
70-71°F 47%
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 26%
68-69华氏度 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
61华氏度或以下
3%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
8%
68-69华氏度
22%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
26%
76-77华氏度
19%
78-79°F
3%
80°F或更高
3%
70-71°F 47%
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 26%
68-69华氏度 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
61华氏度或以下
$0 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
8%
68-69华氏度
$0 交易量
22%
70-71°F
$38 交易量
47%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
36%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
26%
76-77华氏度
$0 交易量
19%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
3%
80°F或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions a high near 70°F for New York City on September 19, driving the strong market preference for the 70-71°F bin. A cooler air mass advecting from the north behind a weak front, combined with northeast to east winds of 8-10 mph, is expected to limit daytime warming after mid-80s readings earlier in the week. Forecast soundings show limited moisture and mostly partly cloudy skies, supporting the tight clustering around 70-72°F with minimal upside risk from mixing or insolation. Updated model runs through the weekend and any final NWS forecast adjustments ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$38结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions a high near 70°F for New York City on September 19, driving the strong market preference for the 70-71°F bin. A cooler air mass advecting from the north behind a weak front, combined with northeast to east winds of 8-10 mph, is expected to limit daytime warming after mid-80s readings earlier in the week. Forecast soundings show limited moisture and mostly partly cloudy skies, supporting the tight clustering around 70-72°F with minimal upside risk from mixing or insolation. Updated model runs through the weekend and any final NWS forecast adjustments ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions a high near 70°F for New York City on September 19, driving the strong market preference for the 70-71°F bin. A cooler air mass advecting from the north behind a weak front, combined with northeast to east winds of 8-10 mph, is expected to limit daytime warming after mid-80s readings earlier in the week. Forecast soundings show limited moisture and mostly partly cloudy skies, supporting the tight clustering around 70-72°F with minimal upside risk from mixing or insolation. Updated model runs through the weekend and any final NWS forecast adjustments ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题