Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate Tokyo's September 17 high will likely fall in the 23–25°C range, driven by persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions follow several days of unsettled weather, including heavy precipitation on September 16 that has kept surface temperatures below mid-September climatological averages of 26–28°C. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus on limited solar insolation and moisture-laden air masses suppressing peaks, though minor variations in timing of clearing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the 24°C outcome highest based on current model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日东京气温最高？
9月17日东京气温最高？
24℃ 38%
23°C 27%
25°C 22%
22°C 7%
最新
$10,298 交易量
最新
$10,298 交易量
2026-09-17
19°C及以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
27%
24℃
38%
25°C
22%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24℃ 38%
23°C 27%
25°C 22%
22°C 7%
最新
$10,298 交易量
最新
$10,298 交易量
2026-09-17
19°C及以下
$158 交易量
<1%
20°C
$309 交易量
1%
21°C
$497 交易量
4%
22°C
$634 交易量
7%
23°C
$2,704 交易量
27%
24℃
$1,377 交易量
38%
25°C
$2,236 交易量
22%
26°C
$662 交易量
7%
27°C
$447 交易量
2%
28°C
$340 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$1,096 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate Tokyo's September 17 high will likely fall in the 23–25°C range, driven by persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions follow several days of unsettled weather, including heavy precipitation on September 16 that has kept surface temperatures below mid-September climatological averages of 26–28°C. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus on limited solar insolation and moisture-laden air masses suppressing peaks, though minor variations in timing of clearing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the 24°C outcome highest based on current model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,298结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate Tokyo's September 17 high will likely fall in the 23–25°C range, driven by persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions follow several days of unsettled weather, including heavy precipitation on September 16 that has kept surface temperatures below mid-September climatological averages of 26–28°C. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus on limited solar insolation and moisture-laden air masses suppressing peaks, though minor variations in timing of clearing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the 24°C outcome highest based on current model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,298结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate Tokyo's September 17 high will likely fall in the 23–25°C range, driven by persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions follow several days of unsettled weather, including heavy precipitation on September 16 that has kept surface temperatures below mid-September climatological averages of 26–28°C. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus on limited solar insolation and moisture-laden air masses suppressing peaks, though minor variations in timing of clearing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the 24°C outcome highest based on current model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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