Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, supporting the market’s strong consensus around these outcomes. Westerly winds off the North Sea are limiting daytime warming, while limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation allow for typical late-summer insolation. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 18.9°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Model runs show low spread, with only modest uncertainty from exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shifts. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations on the 18th will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月18日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
19°C 70%
18°C 24%
20°C 4%
17°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
24%
19°C
70%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
19°C 70%
18°C 24%
20°C 4%
17°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
13°C或以下
$149 交易量
<1%
14°C
$149 交易量
<1%
15°C
$229 交易量
<1%
16°C
$154 交易量
<1%
17°C
$571 交易量
3%
18°C
$881 交易量
24%
19°C
$2,114 交易量
70%
20°C
$666 交易量
4%
21°C
$264 交易量
<1%
22°C
$149 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$536 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, supporting the market’s strong consensus around these outcomes. Westerly winds off the North Sea are limiting daytime warming, while limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation allow for typical late-summer insolation. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 18.9°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Model runs show low spread, with only modest uncertainty from exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shifts. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations on the 18th will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,863结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, supporting the market’s strong consensus around these outcomes. Westerly winds off the North Sea are limiting daytime warming, while limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation allow for typical late-summer insolation. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 18.9°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Model runs show low spread, with only modest uncertainty from exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shifts. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations on the 18th will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,863结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, supporting the market’s strong consensus around these outcomes. Westerly winds off the North Sea are limiting daytime warming, while limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation allow for typical late-summer insolation. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 18.9°C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Model runs show low spread, with only modest uncertainty from exact timing of any residual cloud or wind shifts. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations on the 18th will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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