Latest numerical weather prediction models, including Met Office and ECMWF guidance, indicate a daytime maximum near 23°C in São Paulo on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover from a recent cool spell has limited solar heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal September averages of 25–27°C. This setup favors outcomes clustered at 22–24°C, with model spread and variable cloud thickness creating the tight probability distribution among those bins. Traders weigh the risk of brief clearing allowing a brief spike toward 24°C or thicker clouds capping the peak at 22°C. Updated short-range model runs and INMET observations will provide the next resolution signals before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日圣保罗的最高温度？
9月18日圣保罗的最高温度？
23°C 35%
24°C 29%
22°C 19%
25°C或更高 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
19%
23°C
35%
24°C
29%
25°C或更高
10%
23°C 35%
24°C 29%
22°C 19%
25°C或更高 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$464 交易量
<1%
16°C
$334 交易量
<1%
17°C
$20 交易量
1%
18°C
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$34 交易量
2%
20°C
$79 交易量
3%
21°C
$203 交易量
8%
22°C
$245 交易量
19%
23°C
$245 交易量
35%
24°C
$575 交易量
29%
25°C或更高
$307 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including Met Office and ECMWF guidance, indicate a daytime maximum near 23°C in São Paulo on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover from a recent cool spell has limited solar heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal September averages of 25–27°C. This setup favors outcomes clustered at 22–24°C, with model spread and variable cloud thickness creating the tight probability distribution among those bins. Traders weigh the risk of brief clearing allowing a brief spike toward 24°C or thicker clouds capping the peak at 22°C. Updated short-range model runs and INMET observations will provide the next resolution signals before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,505结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including Met Office and ECMWF guidance, indicate a daytime maximum near 23°C in São Paulo on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover from a recent cool spell has limited solar heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal September averages of 25–27°C. This setup favors outcomes clustered at 22–24°C, with model spread and variable cloud thickness creating the tight probability distribution among those bins. Traders weigh the risk of brief clearing allowing a brief spike toward 24°C or thicker clouds capping the peak at 22°C. Updated short-range model runs and INMET observations will provide the next resolution signals before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,505结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including Met Office and ECMWF guidance, indicate a daytime maximum near 23°C in São Paulo on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover from a recent cool spell has limited solar heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal September averages of 25–27°C. This setup favors outcomes clustered at 22–24°C, with model spread and variable cloud thickness creating the tight probability distribution among those bins. Traders weigh the risk of brief clearing allowing a brief spike toward 24°C or thicker clouds capping the peak at 22°C. Updated short-range model runs and INMET observations will provide the next resolution signals before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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