Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 likely between 24–27 °C, with trader consensus clustering around 26 °C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers. The region remains under the influence of a broad trough and residual moisture from earlier western China rainfall, which limits daytime heating and keeps maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages of about 25 °C. Key variables differentiating the close 25–27 °C outcomes include the exact timing and coverage of afternoon clearing versus lingering stratiform clouds, as well as minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak reading before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日成都气温最高？
9月17日成都气温最高？
26°C 31%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
22%
26°C
31%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C
4%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 31%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
28°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$0 交易量
3%
23°C
$0 交易量
5%
24°C
$27 交易量
11%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$6 交易量
31%
27°C
$38 交易量
25%
28°C
$10 交易量
13%
29°C
$61 交易量
5%
30°C
$5 交易量
4%
31°C或更高
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 likely between 24–27 °C, with trader consensus clustering around 26 °C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers. The region remains under the influence of a broad trough and residual moisture from earlier western China rainfall, which limits daytime heating and keeps maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages of about 25 °C. Key variables differentiating the close 25–27 °C outcomes include the exact timing and coverage of afternoon clearing versus lingering stratiform clouds, as well as minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$361结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 likely between 24–27 °C, with trader consensus clustering around 26 °C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers. The region remains under the influence of a broad trough and residual moisture from earlier western China rainfall, which limits daytime heating and keeps maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages of about 25 °C. Key variables differentiating the close 25–27 °C outcomes include the exact timing and coverage of afternoon clearing versus lingering stratiform clouds, as well as minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$361结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 likely between 24–27 °C, with trader consensus clustering around 26 °C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers. The region remains under the influence of a broad trough and residual moisture from earlier western China rainfall, which limits daytime heating and keeps maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages of about 25 °C. Key variables differentiating the close 25–27 °C outcomes include the exact timing and coverage of afternoon clearing versus lingering stratiform clouds, as well as minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak reading before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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