Recent meteorological guidance from multiple models indicates a daytime high of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, positioning 16°C as the market favorite. This aligns with the upper end of the climatological September maximum near 12.5–13°C while remaining below the threshold for stronger warming. Limited model spread and stable conditions over the past 24 hours support the 64.5% implied probability for 16°C and the secondary 20% weighting on 15°C, with only modest odds on 17°C or higher. Updated National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and international model runs expected later today could refine the exact peak if wind or cloud trends shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月15日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 68%
15°C 19%
17°C 14%
14°C 2%
最新
$11,824 交易量
最新
$11,824 交易量
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
68%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
16°C 68%
15°C 19%
17°C 14%
14°C 2%
最新
$11,824 交易量
最新
$11,824 交易量
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
$182 交易量
<1%
12°C
$203 交易量
<1%
13°C
$554 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,353 交易量
2%
15°C
$3,495 交易量
19%
16°C
$2,121 交易量
68%
17°C
$2,146 交易量
14%
18°C
$1,195 交易量
1%
19°C
$158 交易量
<1%
20°C
$158 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$258 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from multiple models indicates a daytime high of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, positioning 16°C as the market favorite. This aligns with the upper end of the climatological September maximum near 12.5–13°C while remaining below the threshold for stronger warming. Limited model spread and stable conditions over the past 24 hours support the 64.5% implied probability for 16°C and the secondary 20% weighting on 15°C, with only modest odds on 17°C or higher. Updated National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and international model runs expected later today could refine the exact peak if wind or cloud trends shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$11,824结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from multiple models indicates a daytime high of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, positioning 16°C as the market favorite. This aligns with the upper end of the climatological September maximum near 12.5–13°C while remaining below the threshold for stronger warming. Limited model spread and stable conditions over the past 24 hours support the 64.5% implied probability for 16°C and the secondary 20% weighting on 15°C, with only modest odds on 17°C or higher. Updated National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and international model runs expected later today could refine the exact peak if wind or cloud trends shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,824结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRecent meteorological guidance from multiple models indicates a daytime high of 15–16°C for Wellington on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, positioning 16°C as the market favorite. This aligns with the upper end of the climatological September maximum near 12.5–13°C while remaining below the threshold for stronger warming. Limited model spread and stable conditions over the past 24 hours support the 64.5% implied probability for 16°C and the secondary 20% weighting on 15°C, with only modest odds on 17°C or higher. Updated National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and international model runs expected later today could refine the exact peak if wind or cloud trends shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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