Forecast models show significant divergence on overnight radiational cooling for Buenos Aires on September 16 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, creating uncertainty between milder conditions near 10–11°C and sharper drops toward or below 5°C. Current consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum around 8–11°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 10°C, though earlier-month cold outbreaks demonstrate potential for greater variability. Trader sentiment reflects this split, with near-even odds on 11°C or higher versus sub-2°C outcomes driven by model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Official station readings tonight will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
9月16日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
6°C 40%
1°C或更低 25%
3°C 22%
5°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
1°C或更低
25%
2°C
21%
3°C
22%
4°C
21%
5°C
22%
6°C
40%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C或更高
<1%
6°C 40%
1°C或更低 25%
3°C 22%
5°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
1°C或更低
$201 交易量
25%
2°C
$0 交易量
21%
3°C
$0 交易量
22%
4°C
$0 交易量
21%
5°C
$0 交易量
22%
6°C
$58 交易量
40%
7°C
$89 交易量
<1%
8°C
$0 交易量
<1%
9°C
$0 交易量
<1%
10°C
$0 交易量
<1%
11°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show significant divergence on overnight radiational cooling for Buenos Aires on September 16 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, creating uncertainty between milder conditions near 10–11°C and sharper drops toward or below 5°C. Current consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum around 8–11°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 10°C, though earlier-month cold outbreaks demonstrate potential for greater variability. Trader sentiment reflects this split, with near-even odds on 11°C or higher versus sub-2°C outcomes driven by model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Official station readings tonight will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$348结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show significant divergence on overnight radiational cooling for Buenos Aires on September 16 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, creating uncertainty between milder conditions near 10–11°C and sharper drops toward or below 5°C. Current consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum around 8–11°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 10°C, though earlier-month cold outbreaks demonstrate potential for greater variability. Trader sentiment reflects this split, with near-even odds on 11°C or higher versus sub-2°C outcomes driven by model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Official station readings tonight will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$348结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETForecast models show significant divergence on overnight radiational cooling for Buenos Aires on September 16 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, creating uncertainty between milder conditions near 10–11°C and sharper drops toward or below 5°C. Current consensus from multiple runs points to a minimum around 8–11°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 10°C, though earlier-month cold outbreaks demonstrate potential for greater variability. Trader sentiment reflects this split, with near-even odds on 11°C or higher versus sub-2°C outcomes driven by model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns. Official station readings tonight will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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