Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to increasing cloud cover and a 20-30% chance of showers or thunderstorms on September 17 as an easterly flow replaces southerly winds, limiting afternoon heating and producing the market's tight clustering around 94-99°F. This setup contrasts with the hotter, sunnier conditions of the prior two days that reached 98-101°F. Historical averages near 91°F provide baseline context, yet 2023-2025 Septembers ran several degrees warmer. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of midday clouds per official Austin-Bergstrom observations, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution across the leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月17日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 40%
94-95°F 35%
102-103°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
85°F或以下
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
20%
104华氏度或更高
14%
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 40%
94-95°F 35%
102-103°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
85°F或以下
$0 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
7%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
10%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
14%
92-93°F
$8 交易量
19%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
35%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
40%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
40%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
14%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
20%
104华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to increasing cloud cover and a 20-30% chance of showers or thunderstorms on September 17 as an easterly flow replaces southerly winds, limiting afternoon heating and producing the market's tight clustering around 94-99°F. This setup contrasts with the hotter, sunnier conditions of the prior two days that reached 98-101°F. Historical averages near 91°F provide baseline context, yet 2023-2025 Septembers ran several degrees warmer. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of midday clouds per official Austin-Bergstrom observations, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution across the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$8结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to increasing cloud cover and a 20-30% chance of showers or thunderstorms on September 17 as an easterly flow replaces southerly winds, limiting afternoon heating and producing the market's tight clustering around 94-99°F. This setup contrasts with the hotter, sunnier conditions of the prior two days that reached 98-101°F. Historical averages near 91°F provide baseline context, yet 2023-2025 Septembers ran several degrees warmer. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of midday clouds per official Austin-Bergstrom observations, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution across the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance points to increasing cloud cover and a 20-30% chance of showers or thunderstorms on September 17 as an easterly flow replaces southerly winds, limiting afternoon heating and producing the market's tight clustering around 94-99°F. This setup contrasts with the hotter, sunnier conditions of the prior two days that reached 98-101°F. Historical averages near 91°F provide baseline context, yet 2023-2025 Septembers ran several degrees warmer. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of midday clouds per official Austin-Bergstrom observations, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution across the leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题