Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 79°F for Denver on September 17, with a 30-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress maximum temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 72-81°F bins, as traders weigh the balance between daytime solar heating in Denver’s high-elevation, low-humidity environment and potential convective activity tied to a passing trough. Recent shifts from warmer, drier conditions earlier in the week highlight how steering winds and moisture advection can alter peak readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日丹佛的最高温度？
9月17日丹佛的最高温度？
78-79°F 39%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
65°F或以下
5%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
39%
80-81华氏度
12%
82-83°F
11%
84°F或更高
7%
78-79°F 39%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
65°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
5%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$144 交易量
16%
74-75°F
$35 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$20 交易量
14%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
39%
80-81华氏度
$11 交易量
12%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
11%
84°F或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 79°F for Denver on September 17, with a 30-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress maximum temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 72-81°F bins, as traders weigh the balance between daytime solar heating in Denver’s high-elevation, low-humidity environment and potential convective activity tied to a passing trough. Recent shifts from warmer, drier conditions earlier in the week highlight how steering winds and moisture advection can alter peak readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$210结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 79°F for Denver on September 17, with a 30-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress maximum temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 72-81°F bins, as traders weigh the balance between daytime solar heating in Denver’s high-elevation, low-humidity environment and potential convective activity tied to a passing trough. Recent shifts from warmer, drier conditions earlier in the week highlight how steering winds and moisture advection can alter peak readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$210结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 79°F for Denver on September 17, with a 30-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress maximum temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 72-81°F bins, as traders weigh the balance between daytime solar heating in Denver’s high-elevation, low-humidity environment and potential convective activity tied to a passing trough. Recent shifts from warmer, drier conditions earlier in the week highlight how steering winds and moisture advection can alter peak readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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